Drew Phelps
June 2, 2024 1:13 am ET
The Tampa Bay Rays (28-31) and Baltimore Orioles (37-19) conclude their 3-game series Sunday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is slated for 1:35 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’slines around theRays vs. Orioles odds and make our expertMLB picks and predictionsfor the best bets.
Season series: Orioles lead 2-0
Tampa Bay tries to avoid the sweep on Sunday after starting RHP Taj Bradley gave up 9 ER over 3 1/3 IP in Saturday’s 9-5 loss. 1B Yandy Diaz had 3 RBIs for the Rays, who have lost 9 of their last 12 games. Diaz homered in the Rays’ 3-1 loss on Friday.
The Orioles belted 4 HRs in the romp of their division rival. 1B Ryan Mountcastle went yard twice (4 RBIs), while RF Anthony Santander and 3B Jordan Westburg each parked one. Baltimore has won 8 of its last 9 games.
Rays at Orioles projected starters
RHP Zack Littell vs. LHPCole Irvin
Littell (2-3, 3.47 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 62 1/3 IP
- Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 9 K in 3-0 home defeat to the Oakland A’s Tuesday
- Only start vs Orioles: No decision, 4 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 5-4 road loss Sept. 17, 2023
Irvin (5-2, 2.84 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 in 50 2/3 IP in 10 appearances
- Last start: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 11-3 win over the Boston Red Sox
- Career vs Rays: 1-2, 4.19 ERA (19 1/3 IP, 9 ER) in 4 games (3 starts)
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Rays at Orioles odds
Provided byFanDuel Sportsbook; accessUSA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:01 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Rays +112 (bet $100 to win $112) | Orioles -132 (bet $132 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays +1.5 (-188) | Orioles -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -124 | U: +102)
Rays at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Orioles 5, Rays 2
Moneyline.
PASS.
I’m confident that the Orioles (-132) will complete the sweep on Sunday afternoon but I don’t want to pay that juice. I’ll save my wager for the run line and/or total.
Run line/Against the spread
BET ORIOLES -1.5 (+155).
I love getting those juicy plus odds to cover the run line. When Baltimore wins, it usually wins comfortably. In their last 10 wins, they have won all of them by 2-plus runs, including the first 2 games of this series. It doesn’t hurt that Irvin has also won 5 of his last 6 decisions.
The Orioles are trying to keep pace with the red-hot Yankees. This is a game they should win at home, where they are 21-11. The Rays are 11-13 away from Tampa Bay.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 8.5 (+102).
I was actually pleasantly surprised to see that these 2 teams have played to the Under in 7 of their last 10 meetings. That made my decision even easier to bet those plus odds on the Under.
Irvin has been fantastic since late April. He has allowed a grand total of 2 ER over his last 5 starts (30 2/3 IP). I have no reason to believe that this Rays team will be able to break out against Cole.
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